Economy Doing Great Isn't it?
Published on February 13, 2004 By Wahkonta Anathema In Business
Since I heard Bush's campaign spokesperson say the American people are all aware, "the economy is doing great" I want to put up a little reality check for those who think it must be so if they said it on t.v. (I'm confident they are the only people who would believe such stuff anyway).
EXCERPT BEGINS
Huge US Trade Deficit Hits Dollar
BBC News
2-13-4


The US trade deficit hit a record $489bn (£258bn) in 2003, with a quarter of the shortfall coming in trade with China, official figures have shown. The deficit was 17.1% larger than the previous record gap recorded in 2002.

The US economy pulled in 8.3% more imports in 2003 than 2002, while exports grew at a slower pace of 4.6%.

The news pushed the dollar to an 11-year low against the pound, and to within a cent of its all-time low against the euro, before recovering.

The euro skirted a new record high but in late-day deals had fallen to $1.2754 dollars, having at one point in the session touched $1.2896, just short of its record 1.2898 set on 12 January.

The pound was quoted at $1.8867, down from $1.8898, having earlier in the day hit a new 11-year high of $1.8986.

The burgeoning deficit has put downward pressure on the dollar, which could create inflationary pressure as Americans pay more for imported goods.

The monthly deficit hit a near-record $42.5bn in December, well above a median analyst forecast of $40bn.

Gary Thayer, chief economist at AG Edwards & Sons, said: "(The figures are) suggesting the decline we've seen in the dollar over the last couple of years is not having an impact.

"It suggests the dollar may still need to fall to help narrow the trade deficit. But there's a risk to higher inflation if it does."

The dollar has fallen heavily against the euro and other currencies over the past six months, pressured by concerns that the soaring trade gap and a hefty US budget deficit could destabilise the economy. BMO financial group senior economist Sal Guatieri said: "What seems to be happening is that strong US demand is trumping the weak US dollar, causing the trade deficit to widen.

"It probably means the US dollar has to weaken further for the trade side to contribute to economic growth through this year and as well reduce the current account deficit."

European trade

In testimony this week before Congress, Federal Reserve chairman Alan Greenspan appeared comfortable with the dollar's decline, saying foreign companies had so far been able to absorb the impact.

He said it would also eventually help contain the huge trade surplus as foreign producers export less to the United States.

The politically sensitive deficit with China, among the world's biggest exporters, grew to $124bn from $103bn the previous year.

The deficit with the EU surged to $10.29bn from $7.35bn. With the eurozone, the gap grew to $8.19bn from $6bn.

EXCERPT ENDS Go to : http://www.Rense.com/general49/file.htm for copy verify. The play concerning the dollar collapse is to create a second currency in the next year. This will be used to dissolve the dollar completely and have us join in a world currency. Remember where you heard it first. Feel free to comment or e-mail:wahkonta@graffiti.net Blog ON.
Comments
on Nov 26, 2004
People are completely blind to what the devaluation of the dollar actually means.

1. A weaker dollar means more people from outside the United States buy U.S. goods (their currency is stronger)
2. A weaker dollar means that U.S. Consumers can't buy products from foreign nations (i.e., its cheaper to buy U.S. than EU because EU goods become relatively more expensive)
3. Trade Deficit decreases because both Foreigners and U.S. customers are buyer U.S.

The result, our economy improves while other economies are devastated (i.e., the Asia and EU is barely holding onto proper growth forcasts based on exports - kill their exports, kill their economies). You want to talke about Shock and Awe - this is the financial equivalent.

Further Comment - I don't think this is an accident. Why would Alan Greenspan disparage the US dollar in a conference in Europe in such a way to inspire massive currency sales? He isn't dumb, he does things with a purpose, the US wants a weaker dollar. My prediction is that in two years, Bush cuts the trade deficit, stopping the decline and thereby closing the downward spiral is such a way to maximize benefit.